Because either though I don't know where I'll be or what I'll be doing three days from now, I need that fifth-gen Doppler tech to tell me the weather through the end of next week! Plans need to be made!
On the bright side, the bells and whistles curve is exponential.
Not quite fair. The 10-day model is now as borderline-useless as the 7-day used to be, which is why it's being run that far and shared as a forecast. If taken with a ±100mi / 8hour accuracy, at 5 days it's not terrible. That's not good enough to plan a picnic between storms, but it's better than climatology to tell you sun vs cloud and %precip. When I care about ±1mile ±1 hour, I look to the 3-hour RAP model. (When they add ACARS soundings and MESONET to its INIT, it'll get really finescale. AFAIK those are in Experimental but not Operational still.)
ReplyDelete